John Candeto
John Candeto

TIP323: Mastermind Discussion 4Q 2020

Tags
The Investor's PodcastPreston PyshStig BrodersenTobias CarlisleHari Ramachandra
Link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSFrfW6bRrA
Date Consumed
Nov 22, 2020
Count (Month)
17
Created
Nov 22, 2020 1:55 PM
Last Edited
May 3, 2021 4:31 PM

Date of podcast: 15 Nov 2020

Starting at 17:24 — Preston Pysh on Bitcoin

  • Doubling down on his pick from earlier in the year
  • Price estimate c. $20,000 by end-2020 or early 2021
  • Price estimate c. $100,000 by end 2021
  • Extremely volatile
  • Fidelity recently sent an email to investors suggesting 5% portfolio allocation. See here: https://decrypt.co/44880/bitcoin-should-be-5-percent-your-investment-portfolio-fidelity
  • Bear case: if global governments do NOT continue to debase their currencies, Bitcoin becomes less appealing
  • Gold market cap is $10T. Bitcoin market cap is $250B (40x smaller) with better properties. Has store of value plus can be easily verified (by running a full node), is held digitally (no physical storage, mobile when needed), and can be spent.
  • Under Biden presidency: increasing cap gains taxes for high net worth individuals creates additional incentive to HODL which further constrains supply

Additional points (not in podcast)

  • Bitcoin user base currently estimated at 100M individuals
  • PayPal has 300M user base and now enables users to buy and hold Bitcoin, easily through their PayPal accounts
  • Other easy onramps such as Square, Robinhood did not exist during 2017 rally
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